Forecasting Time Series AQI Using Machine learning of Haryana Cities Using Machine Learning
##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.main##
Abstract
In India and throughout the world, air pollution is becoming a severe worry day by day. Governments and the general public have grown more concerned about how air pollution affects human health. Consequently, it is crucial to forecast the air quality with accuracy. In this paper, Machine learning methods SVR and RFR were used to build the hybrid forecast model to predict the concentrations of Air Quality Index in Haryana Cities. The forecast models were built using air pollutants and meteorological parameters from 2019 to 2021 and testing and validation was conducted on the air quality data for the year 2022 of Jind and Panipat city in the State of Haryana. Further, performance of hybrid forecast model was enhanced using scalar technique and performance was evaluated using various coefficient metrics and other parameters. First, the important factors affecting air quality are extracted and irregularities from the dataset are removed. Second, for forecasting AQI various approaches have been used and evaluation is carried out using performance metrics. The experimental results showed that the proposed hybrid model had a better forecast result than the standard Random forest Regression, Support Vector Regression and Multiple Linear Regression.
##plugins.themes.academic_pro.article.details##
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
References
- Aarthi, A., Gayathri, P., Gomathi, N. R., Kalaiselvi, S., & Gomathi, V. (2020). Air Quality Prediction through Regression Model. International Journal of Scientific and Technology Research, 9(3), 923-928.
- Boomphun, J., Kaisornsawad, C., & Wongchaisuwat, P. (2019). Machine Learning Algorithms for Predicting Air Pollutants. CGEEE (pp. 1-5). Okinawa, Japan: E3S Web of Conferences. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201912003004
- C R, A., Deshmukh, C. R., D K, N., & Vidyavastu, P. G. (2018). Detection and Prediction of Air Pollution using Machine Learning Models. International Journal of Engineering Trends and Technology, 59(4), 2004-2007. DOI: https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V59P238
- Doreswamy, Harish Kumar, K. S., Yogesh, K. M., & Gad, I. (2020). Forecasting AIr Pollution Particulate Matter (PM2.5) Using Machine Learning Regression Models. Third International Conference on Computing and Network Communications (COCONET, 19). Trivandrum, Kerala. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2020.04.221
- Espinosa, R., Palma, J., Jimenez, F., Kaminska, J., Sciavicco, G., & Lucena-Sanchez, E. (2021). A Time Series Forecasting based Multi-Criteria Methodology for Air Quality Prediction. Applied Soft Computing, 113(1), 1-25. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asoc.2021.107850
- Freeman, B. S., Taylor, G., Gharabaghi, B., & The, J. (2018). Forecasting Air Quality Time Series using Deep Learning. Jornal of the Air and Waste Management Association, 68(8), 866-886. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10962247.2018.1459956
- Ganesh, S. S., Arulmozhivarman, P., & Tatavarti, R. (2017). Forecasting Air Quality Index Using an Ensemble of Artificial Neural Networks and Regression Models. Journal of Intelligent Systems, 28(5), 893-903. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/jisys-2017-0277
- Joharestani, M. Z., Cao, C., Ni, X., Bashir, B., & Talebiesfandarani, S. (2019). PM 2.5 Prediction based on Random Forest, XGBoost and Deep Learning using Multi-source Remote Sensing Data. Atmosphere, MDPI, 10(7), 1-19. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10070373
- Kumar, K., & Pande, B. P. (2022). Air Pollution Prediction with Machine Learning: A Case study of Indian Cities. International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology, 1-16.
- Lei, T. M., Siu, S. W., Mongardino, J., Mendes, L., & Ferreira, F. (2022). Using Machine Learning Methods to Forecast Air Quality: A Case study in Macao. Atmosphere, MDPI, 13(9), 1-14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13091412
- Mahalingam, U., Elangovan, K., Dobal, H., Valliappa, C., Shrestha, S., & Kedam, G. (2019). A Machine Learning Model for Air Quality Prediction for Smart Cities. International Conference on Pervasive Computing and Communications (pp. 452-457). Kyoto, Japan: IEEE. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/WiSPNET45539.2019.9032734
- Patil, R. M., Dinde, H. T., & Powar, S. K. (2020). A Literature Review on Prediction of Air Quality Index and Forecasting Ambient Air Pollutants using Machine Learning Algorithms. International Journal of Innovative Science and Research Technology, 5(8), 1148-1152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.38124/IJISRT20AUG683
- Rahman, P. A., Panchenko, A. A., & Safarov, A. M. (2017). Using Neural Networks for prediction of Air Pollution Index in Industrial City. Earth and Environmental Science, 87(4), 1-7. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/87/4/042016
- Saeed, S., Hussain, L., Awan, I. A., & Idris, A. (2017). Comparative Analysis of different Statistical Methods for Prediction of PM 2.5 and PM 10 Concentrations in Advance for Several Hours. International Journal of Computer Science and Network Security, 17(11), 45-52.
- Sanjeev, D. (2021). Implementation of Machine Learning Algorithms for Analysis and Prediction of Air Quality. International Journal of Engineering, Reasearch and Technology, 10(3), 533-538.
- Shaban, K. B., Kadri, A., & Rezk, I. (2016). Urban Air Pollution Monitoring System with Forecasting Models. IEEE Sensors Journal, 16(8), 2598-2606. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1109/JSEN.2016.2514378
- Vineeta, Bhat, A., Manek, A. S., & Mishra, P. (2019). Machine Learning based Prediction System for Detecting Air Pollution. International Journal of Engineering Research and Technology, 8(9), 155-159.
- Zhu, J., Wu, P., Chen, H., Zhou, L., & Tao, Z. (2018). A Hybrid Forecasting Approach to Air Quality Time Series based on Endpoint Condition and Combined Forecasting Model. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, MDPI, 15(9), 1-19. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15091941